Current Fire Danger and Discussion
FNUS52 KILM 181919
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PREVAIL AHEAD AND
ALONG A COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT APPROACHES THE
COAST EARLY ON WEDNESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT...MAKING ITS WAY SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN TO THE SOUTH LEAVING A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WHICH MAY MOVE BACK TOWARD THE COAST AND AFFECT THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE TO LOW
NCZ105>110-191130-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 60 40 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 4 4 4 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 70 83 65 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11 G21 NW 6 E 4 NE 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 8 NE 5 NE 5 E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.63 0.51 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 5 2
INVERSION 2300 73/0800 2100 73/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 92 55 99 48
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4380 4910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 E 14
VENTILATION RATE 35040 68740
ADI EARLY 49 GEN GOOD 28 FAIR 10 POOR 36 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 28 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-191130-
ROBESON-BLADEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 50 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 4 4 3 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 68 84 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 9 N 5 NE 4 NE 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 5 NE 6 E 3 E 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.67 0.34 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 2 0
INVERSION 2300 71/0700 2100 72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 90 49 100 46
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4970 5750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 E 8
VENTILATION RATE 49700 46000
ADI EARLY 58 GEN GOOD 34 FAIR 14 GEN POOR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 13 GEN POOR 36 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 10 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
NCZ099-191130-
COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITEVILLE
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 50 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 4 4 3 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 69 84 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 9 NW 5 NE 3 NE 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 6 NE 5 E 3 E 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.62 0.45 0.07 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 2 1
INVERSION 2300 72/0600 2100 72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 89 52 100 48
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4730 5710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 E 10
VENTILATION RATE 37840 57100
ADI EARLY 46 GEN GOOD 31 FAIR 8 POOR 40 FAIR
ADI LATE 2 VERY POOR 32 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 10 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-191130-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 50 30 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 4 4 4 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 71 85 66 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 10 NW 6 LGT/VAR NE 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 8 E 3 NE 3 E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.45 0.55 0.12 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 2 1
INVERSION 2300 74/0600 2100 74/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 88 55 100 51
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4630 4780
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 6 E 15
VENTILATION RATE 27780 71700
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 25 FAIR 7 POOR 39 FAIR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 23 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
SCZ024-032-033-039-191130-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 50 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 4 3 3 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 69 86 65 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 9 N 6 LGT/VAR NE 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 6 NE 5 NE 3 E 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.51 0.42 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 2 1
INVERSION 2300 73/0800 2100 73/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 90 49 100 47
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5300 5880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 E 12
VENTILATION RATE 37100 70560
ADI EARLY 42 GEN GOOD 32 FAIR 8 POOR 38 FAIR
ADI LATE 2 VERY POOR 34 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS
AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-191130-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 50 0 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
LAL 4 3 2 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 68 87 64 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 10 N 5 NE 4 E 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 5 NE 5 NE 3 E 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.50 0.27 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 1
INVERSION 2300 71/0800 2100 71/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%) 91 47 100 46
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 4 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5540 6060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 E 10
VENTILATION RATE 38780 60600
ADI EARLY 58 GEN GOOD 33 FAIR 9 POOR 36 FAIR
ADI LATE 10 POOR 35 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
RGZ
NWS Office Area Forecast Discussion
