Current Fire Danger and Discussion
FNUS52 KILM 030836
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
436 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
.DISCUSSION...
HURRICANE EARL EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS THIS MORNING...WILL ACCELERATE
NORTHEAST...FURTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION. IN THE WAKE OF EARL...
HOT...DRY AND 10 TO 20 MPH WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE ON TAP FOR THE
AREA TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT
AND PUSH ACROSS THE AREA AND OFFSHORE EARLY SATURDAY. NO RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED FROM THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
AND RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...AND RESULT IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
NCZ097-100-101-040045-
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...
WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH
436 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 98 68 88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 10 SW 9 G20 NW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 13 G22 SW 8 W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 80/0900 2200 80/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 27 77 28
DSI 3 2
HAINES INDEX 5 5 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7160 5030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 9
VENTILATION RATE 121720 45270
ADI EARLY 59 GEN GOOD 62 GOOD 47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 62 GOOD 10 POOR 47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ034-046-040045-
HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
436 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 97 68 90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 8 SW 8 NW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 11 G20 SW 8 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 80/0900 2200 80/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 28 77 31
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 5 5 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7360 5060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 NW 7
VENTILATION RATE 117760 35420
ADI EARLY 57 GEN GOOD 64 GOOD 44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 57 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 1 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ096-099-040045-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
436 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 97 67 89
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 8 SW 7 NW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 11 SW 6 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 79/0900 2200 79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 26 78 26
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 5 6 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7600 5590
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 NW 9
VENTILATION RATE 121600 50310
ADI EARLY 57 GEN GOOD 69 GOOD 52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 59 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-040045-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
436 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 97 67 90
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 6 SW 7 NW 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 11 W 6 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 79/0900 2200 79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 27 78 29
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 5 5 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7660 5570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 NW 6
VENTILATION RATE 114900 33420
ADI EARLY 56 GEN GOOD 63 GOOD 48 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 56 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-040045-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
436 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 97 66 88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 6 SW 6 NW 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 10 W 6 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 78/0900 2200 78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%) 26 77 26
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 5 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7820 5660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 NW 8
VENTILATION RATE 125120 45280
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 65 GOOD 58 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 59 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
DOUGH
