Current Fire Danger and Discussion
FNUS52 KILM 190811
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
411 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE EAST OF CAPE FEAR WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD FROM THE GULF COAST.
THIS WILL BRING WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY TO THE AREA. LOW PRESSURE OVER ARKANSAS SUNDAY WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS EARLY MONDAY...DRAGGING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CAROLINAS. COOL TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL MODERATE LATER IN THE WEEK.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE
NCZ097-100-101-200015-
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...SHALLOTTE...
WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH
411 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 40 76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR S 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 56/1000 1900 65/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%) 27 92 27
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7170 5980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 SW 7
VENTILATION RATE 100380 41860
ADI EARLY 34 FAIR 84 GOOD 13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 69 GOOD 2 VERY POOR 31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ034-046-200015-
HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
411 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 42 77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR S 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 56/1000 1900 65/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%) 28 86 29
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 5 5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7150 6120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SW 7
VENTILATION RATE 92950 42840
ADI EARLY 53 GEN GOOD 86 GOOD 17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 60 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
411 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 40 76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR S 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 56/1100 1900 65/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%) 26 89 26
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7780 6450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SW 7
VENTILATION RATE 101140 45150
ADI EARLY 45 GEN GOOD 87 GOOD 17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 59 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
411 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 42 77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 5 LGT/VAR S 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 56/1000 1900 65/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%) 27 86 28
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 5 5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7790 6710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 SW 8
VENTILATION RATE 109060 53680
ADI EARLY 55 GEN GOOD 91 GOOD 24 FAIR
ADI LATE 66 GOOD 2 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 1 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
