Current Fire Danger and Discussion

Fire
FNUS52 KILM 181919
 FWFILM
 
 FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
 FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
 .DISCUSSION...
 ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PREVAIL AHEAD AND
 ALONG A COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT APPROACHES THE
 COAST EARLY ON WEDNESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
 NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT...MAKING ITS WAY SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
 THURSDAY. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN TO THE SOUTH LEAVING A TROUGH OF
 LOW PRESSURE WHICH MAY MOVE BACK TOWARD THE COAST AND AFFECT THE
 AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
 
 FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE TO LOW
 
 NCZ105>110-191130-
 INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
 INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
 WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
 BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
 SOUTHPORT
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
                       TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          
 
 CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
 PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           40           0            
 PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
 LAL                   4            4            4            1            
 MIN/MAX TEMP          70           83           65           84           
 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11 G21    NW  6        E  4         NE  8        
 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  8        NE  5        NE  5        E 10         
 PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.51         0.10         0.00         
 PRECIP DURATION       9            5            2                         
 INVERSION             2300         73/0800      2100         73/0900      
 MAX/MIN RH (%)        92           55           99           48           
 DSI                                2                         3            
 HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4            
 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4380                      4910         
 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      E 14         
 VENTILATION RATE                   35040                     68740        
 ADI EARLY             49 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR      10 POOR      36 FAIR      
 ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  28 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  44 GEN GOOD  
 MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            6            9            
 MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            9            1            
 
 REMARKS...NONE.
 
 .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
 EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
 IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
 SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
 MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 
 $$
 
 NCZ087-096-191130-
 ROBESON-BLADEN-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
                       TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          
 
 CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
 PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           20           0            
 PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
 LAL                   4            4            3            1            
 MIN/MAX TEMP          68           84           65           85           
 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  9        N  5         NE  4        NE  6        
 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  5         NE  6        E  3         E  6         
 PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.34         0.03         0.00         
 PRECIP DURATION       9            2            0                         
 INVERSION             2300         71/0700      2100         72/0900      
 MAX/MIN RH (%)        90           49           100          46           
 DSI                                2                         3            
 HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4            
 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4970                      5750         
 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     E  8         
 VENTILATION RATE                   49700                     46000        
 ADI EARLY             58 GEN GOOD  34 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  35 FAIR      
 ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  36 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD  
 MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            10           
 MAX LVORI LATE        5            2            10           2            
 
 REMARKS...NONE.
 
 .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
 MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
 MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
 RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 
 $$
 
 NCZ099-191130-
 COLUMBUS-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITEVILLE
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
                       TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          
 
 CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
 PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           20           0            
 PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
 LAL                   4            4            3            1            
 MIN/MAX TEMP          69           84           65           85           
 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  9        NW  5        NE  3        NE  7        
 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  6        NE  5        E  3         E  7         
 PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.45         0.07         0.00         
 PRECIP DURATION       9            2            1                         
 INVERSION             2300         72/0600      2100         72/0900      
 MAX/MIN RH (%)        89           52           100          48           
 DSI                                2                         3            
 HAINES INDEX          4            3            4            4            
 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4730                      5710         
 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     E 10         
 VENTILATION RATE                   37840                     57100        
 ADI EARLY             46 GEN GOOD  31 FAIR      8 POOR       40 FAIR      
 ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  32 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  50 GEN GOOD  
 MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6            10           
 MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            10           2            
 
 REMARKS...NONE.
 
 .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
 MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
 MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 
 $$
 
 SCZ053>056-191130-
 INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
 NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
 MURRELLS INLET
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
                       TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          
 
 CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
 PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           30           0            
 PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
 LAL                   4            4            4            1            
 MIN/MAX TEMP          71           85           66           86           
 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 10        NW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  8        
 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  8        E  3         NE  3        E 10         
 PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.55         0.12         0.00         
 PRECIP DURATION       9            2            1                         
 INVERSION             2300         74/0600      2100         74/0900      
 MAX/MIN RH (%)        88           55           100          51           
 DSI                                2                         3            
 HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            4            
 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4630                      4780         
 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      E 15         
 VENTILATION RATE                   27780                     71700        
 ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      25 FAIR      7 POOR       39 FAIR      
 ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  23 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  49 GEN GOOD  
 MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6            9            
 MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            10           1            
 
 REMARKS...NONE.
 
 .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
 EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
 IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST
 WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
 HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
 10 MPH. 
 
 $$
 
 SCZ024-032-033-039-191130-
 DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
                       TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          
 
 CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
 PRECIP CHC (%)        60           50           20           0            
 PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
 LAL                   4            3            3            1            
 MIN/MAX TEMP          69           86           65           87           
 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  9        N  6         LGT/VAR      NE  7        
 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  6         NE  5        NE  3        E  8         
 PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.42         0.06         0.00         
 PRECIP DURATION       9            2            1                         
 INVERSION             2300         73/0800      2100         73/0900      
 MAX/MIN RH (%)        90           49           100          47           
 DSI                                3                         3            
 HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4            
 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5300                      5880         
 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     E 12         
 VENTILATION RATE                   37100                     70560        
 ADI EARLY             42 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR      8 POOR       38 FAIR      
 ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD  
 MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6            10           
 MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            10           1            
 
 REMARKS...NONE.
 
 .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
 MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS
 AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 
 $$
 
 SCZ017-023-191130-
 MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
 319 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
                       TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          
 
 CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
 PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           0            0            
 PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
 LAL                   4            3            2            1            
 MIN/MAX TEMP          68           87           64           87           
 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 10        N  5         NE  4        E  6         
 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  5         NE  5        NE  3        E  7         
 PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.27         0.00         0.00         
 PRECIP DURATION       9            1                                      
 INVERSION             2300         71/0800      2100         71/0900      
 MAX/MIN RH (%)        91           47           100          46           
 DSI                                3                         3            
 HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            4            
 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5540                      6060         
 TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     E 10         
 VENTILATION RATE                   38780                     60600        
 ADI EARLY             58 GEN GOOD  33 FAIR      9 POOR       36 FAIR      
 ADI LATE              10 POOR      35 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  46 GEN GOOD  
 MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6            10           
 MAX LVORI LATE        5            2            10           1            
 
 REMARKS...NONE.
 
 .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
 MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 .MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
 THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
 
 $$
 
 .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
 TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
 
 $$
 
 
      SC USERS                               NC USERS
 ===================================================================
 VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
 ===================================================================
     0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
 17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
 34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
 51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
 69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER
 
      SC USERS                               NC USERS
 ===================================================================
 FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
 ===================================================================
                          STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
 CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
 2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
 6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
 9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
 14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT
 
 ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
 LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
 
 $$
 
 RGZ

NWS Office Area Forecast Discussion