Extended Forecasts from Carolina StormWatch

Compare NWS vs WxSIM Forecasts Being Withing 2 Degrees

NWS Forecasts

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 69 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 86 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 69 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 86 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 70 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Hi 85 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Lo 70 °F
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Hi 84 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms

Lo 72 °F

WxSim Forecasts

Rest of
tonight
Fog
Fog
Low: 69°
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 90°
Friday
night
Fog
Fog
Low: 68°
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 90°
Saturday
night
Fog
Fog
Low: 69°
Sunday

Fog a.m.
Hot!
Fog a.m.
Hot!
High: 90°
Sunday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 73°
Monday

Mostly Cloudy
Hot!
Mostly Cloudy
Hot!
High: 89°
Monday
night
Fog
Fog
Low: 69°


WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

4AM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 71   85 86   71 68   81 85   74 67   86 86   75 69   87 85   76
September 14, 2018 0 85.4 °F 77 80 74.7°F 73 75   78 82   73 74   83 84   73 74   84 87   74
September 13, 2018 75 85.4 °F 82 84 77.1°F 71 74 85.4 °F 78 85 74.7°F 73 74   80 86   73 73   82 86   73
September 12, 2018 74 91.1 °F 92 89 75.9°F 74 74 85.4 °F 83 85 77.1°F 72 74 85.4 °F 77 87 74.7°F 71 73   76 88   73
September 09, 2018 73 92.3 °F 91 88 74.5°F 73 74 91.1 °F 90 89 75.9°F 72 73 85.4 °F 93 89 77.1°F 74 74 85.4 °F 92 89 74.7°F 74
September 08, 2018 72 91.5 °F 92 89 72.0°F 72 73 92.3 °F 91 88 74.5°F 72 74 91.1 °F 91 90 75.9°F 73 74 85.4 °F 92 90 77.1°F 75
September 07, 2018 73 86.9 °F 92 89 71.0°F 72 72 91.5 °F 91 89 72.0°F 72 72 92.3 °F 89 89 74.5°F 72 74 91.1 °F 90 89 75.9°F 74
September 06, 2018 74 92.7 °F 92 89 71.0°F 74 73 86.9 °F 92 88 71.0°F 73 72 91.5 °F 92 89 72.0°F 73 72 92.3 °F 90 87 74.5°F 74
September 05, 2018 72 92.5 °F 92 89 70.7°F 72 74 92.7 °F 92 88 71.0°F 72 72 86.9 °F 91 88 71.0°F 72 73 91.5 °F 91 86 72.0°F 72
September 04, 2018 73 91.8 °F 94 89 72.6°F 73 73 92.5 °F 90 88 70.7°F 72 73 92.7 °F 91 88 71.0°F 74 73 86.9 °F 91 88 71.0°F 75
September 03, 2018 73 93.1 °F 92 90 72.2°F 73 74 91.8 °F 93 90 72.6°F 75 74 92.5 °F 91 88 70.7°F 72 74 92.7 °F 91 88 71.0°F 74
August 29, 2018 73 92.3 °F 93 87 72.4°F 74 74 93.1 °F 93 89 72.2°F 74 74 91.8 °F 93 89 72.6°F 74 73 92.5 °F 92 88 70.7°F 76
August 28, 2018 72 91.3 °F 93 87 71.9°F 73 74 92.3 °F 93 88 72.4°F 74 74 93.1 °F 93 89 72.2°F 76 74 91.8 °F 93 89 72.6°F 77
August 27, 2018 70 91.4 °F 92 88 70.7°F 72 72 91.3 °F 92 88 71.9°F 73 74 92.3 °F 93 88 72.4°F 75 74 93.1 °F 93 89 72.2°F 77
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 9 0 11 0 8 0 8 0 7 0 4 0 6 0 4
% Succ     69.2     84.6     66.7     66.7     63.6     36.4     60.0     40.0
Ave Error 23.4   2.1 14.7   1.7 17.1   2.0 14.9   2.0 17.2   2.7 15.4   2.4 16.8   2.5 15.1   2.7
Net Error -23.4   -0.3 14.7   -0.1 -17.1   -0.7 14.9   -0.2 -17.2   -0.1 15.4   0.2 -16.8   1.2 15.1   1.6
Std Dev 19.2   2.3 5.7   1.5 7.6   2.2 6.8   1.5 9.4   2.9 8.3   1.5 11.0   2.6 9.7   2.2

6AM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 86   85 68   71 85   81 67   74 86   86 69   75 85   87 70   76
September 14, 2018 80 85.4 °F 77 75 74.7°F 73 82   78 74   73 84   83 74   73 87   83 75   74
September 13, 2018 85 85.4 °F 82 75 74.7°F 71 85 85.4 °F 78 75 74.7°F 73 84   80 74   73 84   82 74   73
September 12, 2018 89 91.1 °F 92 74 75.9°F 74 86 85.4 °F 83 74 74.7°F 72 85 85.4 °F 77 74 74.7°F 71 86   76 73   73
September 09, 2018 88 92.3 °F 90 74 73.8°F 72 89 91.1 °F 90 73 75.9°F 72 89 85.4 °F 93 74 74.7°F 74 89 85.4 °F 92 76 74.7°F 74
September 08, 2018 89 91.5 °F 92 73 71.8°F 73 88 92.3 °F 91 74 73.8°F 73 90 91.1 °F 91 74 75.9°F 73 90 85.4 °F 92 73 74.7°F 75
September 07, 2018 89 86.9 °F 92 72 70.0°F 72 89 91.5 °F 91 72 71.8°F 72 89 92.3 °F 89 74 73.8°F 72 89 91.1 °F 90 73 75.9°F 74
September 06, 2018 90 92.7 °F 92 73 70.5°F 74 88 86.9 °F 91 72 70.0°F 73 89 91.5 °F 92 72 71.8°F 73 87 92.3 °F 90 72 73.8°F 74
September 05, 2018 89 92.5 °F 92 74 70.4°F 72 88 92.7 °F 92 72 70.5°F 72 88 86.9 °F 91 73 70.0°F 71 86 91.5 °F 91 72 71.8°F 72
September 04, 2018 89 91.8 °F 94 73 72.1°F 73 88 92.5 °F 90 73 70.4°F 72 88 92.7 °F 91 73 70.5°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 72 70.0°F 74
September 03, 2018 90 93.1 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 90 91.8 °F 94 74 72.1°F 75 88 92.5 °F 92 74 70.4°F 72 88 92.7 °F 91 72 70.5°F 74
August 29, 2018 87 92.3 °F 93 74 71.9°F 73 88 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 74 88 91.8 °F 93 74 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.4°F 76
August 28, 2018 87 91.3 °F 93 74 71.3°F 73 88 92.3 °F 93 74 71.9°F 74 89 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 76 89 91.8 °F 93 73 72.1°F 77
August 27, 2018 88 91.4 °F 93 72 70.2°F 73 88 91.3 °F 92 74 71.3°F 74 88 92.3 °F 93 74 71.9°F 76 89 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 77
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 8 8 9 4 7 7 5 3 7 6 6 1 6 7 5
% Succ 7.7   61.5 61.5   69.2 33.3   58.3 58.3   41.7 27.3   63.6 54.5   54.5 10.0   60.0 70.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.2   2.2 1.7   2.1 2.9   2.0 1.6   2.1 3.0   2.6 1.7   2.3 3.8   2.5 1.7   2.7
Net Error -2.9   -0.3 1.4   0.7 -2.6   -0.7 1.0   0.6 -2.2   0.0 1.1   0.7 -2.0   1.2 0.4   2.1
Std Dev 1.6   2.3 1.1   1.0 2.0   2.1 1.1   1.3 2.1   3.0 1.4   1.5 2.7   2.6 1.3   2.3

8AM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 87   85 70   71 85   81 68   74 85   86 70   75 85   87 71   76
September 13, 2018 85 85.4 °F 84 75 74.7°F 71 85   78 75   72 84   78 74   72 84   83 74   73
September 12, 2018 89 91.1 °F 91 74 75.9°F 74 86 85.4 °F 83 74 74.7°F 71 85   78 74   71 86   78 73   73
September 09, 2018 88 92.3 °F 90 74 73.8°F 72 89 91.1 °F 92 73 75.9°F 73 89 85.4 °F 93 74 74.7°F 74 89   92 76   74
September 08, 2018 89 91.5 °F 92 73 71.4°F 72 88 92.3 °F 91 74 73.8°F 73 90 91.1 °F 92 74 75.9°F 75 90 85.4 °F 92 73 74.7°F 74
September 07, 2018 89 86.9 °F 92 72 69.9°F 73 89 91.5 °F 93 72 71.4°F 72 89 92.3 °F 91 74 73.8°F 75 89 91.1 °F 92 73 75.9°F 75
September 06, 2018 90 92.7 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 72 89 91.5 °F 93 72 71.4°F 72 87 92.3 °F 89 72 73.8°F 73
September 05, 2018 90 92.5 °F 92 74 70.3°F 72 88 92.7 °F 91 72 70.3°F 72 88 86.9 °F 90 73 69.9°F 72 86 91.5 °F 92 72 71.4°F 72
September 04, 2018 89 91.8 °F 94 73 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 75
September 03, 2018 90 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 75 90 91.8 °F 93 74 72.1°F 75 88 92.5 °F 92 74 70.3°F 74 88 92.7 °F 89 72 70.3°F 74
August 29, 2018 87 92.3 °F 92 74 72.0°F 72 88 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 74 88 91.8 °F 93 74 72.1°F 75 88 92.5 °F 93 73 70.3°F 76
August 28, 2018 87 91.3 °F 92 74 71.2°F 75 88 92.3 °F 93 74 72.0°F 75 89 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 76 89 91.8 °F 93 73 72.1°F 77
August 27, 2018 88 91.4 °F 94 72 70.1°F 75 88 91.3 °F 92 74 71.2°F 75 88 92.3 °F 93 74 72.0°F 76 89 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 77
August 26, 2018 87 91.9 °F 93 71 68.8°F 68 88 91.4 °F 93 72 70.1°F 70 89 91.3 °F 93 74 71.2°F 74 89 92.3 °F 93 74 72.0°F 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 9 7 7 3 10 7 4 2 9 6 4 1 6 6 4
% Succ 7.7   69.2 53.8   53.8 25.0   83.3 58.3   33.3 18.2   81.8 54.5   36.4 10.0   60.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.1   1.4 1.9   2.3 3.1   1.4 1.8   2.2 3.2   1.8 2.0   2.3 3.8   2.2 1.9   3.2
Net Error -2.8   0.5 1.6   1.1 -2.9   0.4 1.2   1.0 -2.4   1.3 1.5   2.1 -2.7   0.7 0.6   2.7
Std Dev 1.5   1.4 1.1   1.4 1.9   1.1 1.1   1.2 2.0   2.1 1.5   1.6 2.7   2.2 1.3   2.6

10AM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 88   85 68   71 86   81 67   74 85   86 70   75 84   87 70   76
September 13, 2018 85 85.4 °F 86 75 74.7°F 71 85   78 75   72 84   79 74   72 84   83 74   73
September 12, 2018 89 91.1 °F 91 74 75.9°F 74 86 85.4 °F 83 74 74.7°F 72 85   78 74   71 86   79 73   73
September 11, 2018 88 92.3 °F 91 73 73.8°F 74 89 91.1 °F 93 74 75.9°F 75 87 85.4 °F 86 75 74.7°F 75 88   81 73   70
September 10, 2018 90 91.0 °F 74 73 72.0°F 92 89 92.3 °F 74 73 73.8°F 93 90 91.1 °F 74 74 75.9°F 92 86 85.4 °F 74 75 74.7°F 88
September 09, 2018 88 72.3°F 88 74 90.1 °F 73 89 91.0 °F 92 73 72.0°F 73 89 92.3 °F 93 74 73.8°F 74 89 91.1 °F 92 76 75.9°F 74
September 08, 2018 89 91.5 °F 94 73 71.4°F 74 88 72.3°F 91 74 90.1 °F 74 90 91.0 °F 92 74 72.0°F 75 90 92.3 °F 92 73 73.8°F 74
September 07, 2018 89 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 72 89 91.5 °F 93 72 71.4°F 72 89 72.3°F 91 74 90.1 °F 75 89 91.0 °F 92 73 72.0°F 75
September 06, 2018 90 92.7 °F 94 73 70.3°F 74 88 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 73 89 91.5 °F 93 72 71.4°F 72 87 72.3°F 89 72 90.1 °F 73
September 05, 2018 90 92.5 °F 93 74 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 91 72 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 90 73 69.9°F 73 86 91.5 °F 92 72 71.4°F 73
September 04, 2018 89 91.8 °F 94 73 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.3°F 74 88 92.7 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 75
September 03, 2018 90 93.1 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 90 91.8 °F 93 74 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 74 70.3°F 74 88 92.7 °F 89 72 70.3°F 73
September 02, 2018 89 92.3 °F 93 74 72.0°F 75 88 93.1 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 89 91.8 °F 91 74 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.3°F 74
August 31, 2018 89 93.1 °F 94 73 71.9°F 75 87 92.3 °F 94 73 72.0°F 75 87 93.1 °F 92 73 71.8°F 74 87 91.8 °F 93 73 72.1°F 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 8 8 3 4 8 8 4 4 8 7 4 3 6 7 3
% Succ 15.4   61.5 61.5   23.1 33.3   66.7 66.7   33.3 36.4   72.7 63.6   36.4 30.0   60.0 70.0   30.0
Ave Error 3.6   3.7 2.8   5.0 4.1   4.5 2.7   4.8 4.1   4.2 3.1   4.4 4.2   4.0 2.8   5.5
Net Error -0.8   0.7 -0.1   1.5 -1.2   0.5 -0.5   1.6 -0.6   0.5 -0.2   1.7 -1.0   0.9 -1.0   1.7
Std Dev 3.8   5.5 4.0   6.0 4.1   6.5 4.2   6.1 4.7   6.6 4.5   5.8 4.6   5.7 5.4   6.1

12PM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 88   85 68   71 86   81 67   74 85   86 70   75 84   87 70   76
September 13, 2018 85 85.4 °F 87 75 74.7°F 71 85   78 75   72 84   78 74   72 84   83 74   73
September 12, 2018 89 91.1 °F 92 74 75.9°F 73 86 85.4 °F 81 74 74.7°F 70 85   77 74   71 86   79 73   73
September 11, 2018 88 92.3 °F 93 73 73.8°F 75 89 91.1 °F 93 74 75.9°F 75 87 85.4 °F 86 75 74.7°F 75 88   81 73   70
September 10, 2018 90 91.0 °F 88 73 72.0°F 72 89 92.3 °F 91 73 73.8°F 74 90 91.1 °F 91 74 75.9°F 76 86 85.4 °F 85 75 74.7°F 77
September 09, 2018 88 90.1 °F 88 74 72.3°F 73 89 91.0 °F 92 73 72.0°F 73 89 92.3 °F 93 74 73.8°F 74 89 91.1 °F 92 76 75.9°F 74
September 08, 2018 89 91.5 °F 94 73 71.4°F 74 88 90.1 °F 91 74 72.3°F 74 90 91.0 °F 92 74 72.0°F 75 90 92.3 °F 92 73 73.8°F 74
September 07, 2018 89 86.9 °F 90 72 69.9°F 70 89 91.5 °F 92 72 71.4°F 72 89 90.1 °F 91 74 72.3°F 73 89 91.0 °F 91 73 72.0°F 75
September 06, 2018 90 92.7 °F 93 73 70.3°F 72 88 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 72 89 91.5 °F 92 72 71.4°F 72 87 90.1 °F 89 72 72.3°F 73
September 05, 2018 90 92.5 °F 94 74 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 92 72 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 73 69.9°F 72 86 91.5 °F 92 72 71.4°F 72
September 04, 2018 89 91.8 °F 93 73 72.1°F 73 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 91 73 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 72 69.9°F 75
September 03, 2018 90 93.1 °F 93 74 71.8°F 75 90 91.8 °F 93 74 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 74 70.3°F 72 88 92.7 °F 89 72 70.3°F 73
September 02, 2018 89 92.3 °F 94 74 72.0°F 74 88 93.1 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 89 91.8 °F 90 74 72.1°F 73 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73
September 01, 2018 89 93.1 °F 95 73 72.0°F 74 87 92.3 °F 93 73 72.0°F 73 88 93.1 °F 91 73 71.8°F 73 88 91.8 °F 93 73 72.1°F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 9 9 8 4 10 9 7 5 9 8 8 3 8 8 5
% Succ 15.4   69.2 69.2   61.5 33.3   83.3 75.0   58.3 45.5   81.8 72.7   72.7 30.0   80.0 80.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.5   1.6 1.7   1.8 2.9   1.5 1.5   1.9 2.6   1.3 1.8   1.2 3.0   1.3 1.1   1.9
Net Error -2.2   0.8 1.3   0.8 -2.6   0.2 1.0   1.0 -2.1   0.1 1.4   1.2 -2.6   0.1 0.8   1.5
Std Dev 1.2   1.0 1.0   1.2 1.7   1.4 0.9   1.4 1.8   1.2 1.3   1.1 2.2   1.0 0.8   1.5

2PM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 88   90 68   71 86   89 67   69 85   89 70   68 84   90 70   72
September 19, 2018 88 80.8 °F 85 71 69.6°F 71 85   81 69   74 84   86 68   75 86   87 70   76
September 13, 2018 85 85.4 °F 86 77 74.7°F 71 83 80.8 °F 78 76 69.6°F 73 83   80 74   72 84   84 74   72
September 12, 2018 89 91.1 °F 92 74 75.9°F 74 86 85.4 °F 81 74 74.7°F 70 85 80.8 °F 77 74 69.6°F 73 86   79 73   73
September 11, 2018 88 92.3 °F 86 73 73.8°F 71 89 91.1 °F 92 74 75.9°F 74 87 85.4 °F 80 75 74.7°F 72 88 80.8 °F 79 73 69.6°F 71
September 10, 2018 90 91.0 °F 91 73 72.0°F 75 89 92.3 °F 89 73 73.8°F 74 90 91.1 °F 90 74 75.9°F 73 86 85.4 °F 85 75 74.7°F 75
September 09, 2018 88 90.1 °F 91 74 72.3°F 75 90 91.0 °F 92 74 72.0°F 74 88 92.3 °F 92 74 73.8°F 74 89 91.1 °F 92 75 75.9°F 73
September 08, 2018 89 91.5 °F 92 73 71.4°F 71 88 90.1 °F 91 74 72.3°F 72 90 91.0 °F 92 74 72.0°F 73 90 92.3 °F 93 73 73.8°F 75
September 07, 2018 89 86.9 °F 88 72 70.0°F 71 89 91.5 °F 93 72 71.4°F 72 89 90.1 °F 91 74 72.3°F 73 89 91.0 °F 89 73 72.0°F 75
September 06, 2018 90 92.7 °F 94 73 70.3°F 76 88 86.9 °F 90 72 70.0°F 73 88 91.5 °F 91 72 71.4°F 73 87 90.1 °F 90 72 72.3°F 74
September 05, 2018 90 92.5 °F 93 74 70.3°F 75 88 92.7 °F 93 72 70.3°F 73 88 86.9 °F 91 73 70.0°F 73 86 91.5 °F 92 72 71.4°F 73
September 04, 2018 89 91.8 °F 93 73 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 92 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 90 73 70.3°F 74 88 86.9 °F 92 72 70.0°F 74
September 03, 2018 90 93.1 °F 92 74 71.8°F 76 90 91.8 °F 91 74 72.1°F 73 88 92.5 °F 92 74 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 90 72 70.3°F 73
September 02, 2018 89 92.3 °F 92 74 72.0°F 74 88 93.1 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 89 91.8 °F 92 74 72.1°F 74 88 92.5 °F 90 73 70.3°F 73
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 11 9 6 4 8 9 6 5 7 7 5 3 7 8 5
% Succ 15.4   84.6 69.2   46.2 33.3   66.7 75.0   50.0 45.5   63.6 63.6   45.5 30.0   70.0 80.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.8   1.5 1.9   2.7 2.6   1.7 2.1   2.1 2.7   1.9 2.0   2.2 3.3   1.7 1.4   2.2
Net Error -1.3   0.3 1.4   1.4 -1.9   -0.4 1.5   1.0 -1.5   -0.7 1.7   1.1 -1.5   -0.2 1.0   1.6
Std Dev 1.8   1.7 0.9   1.6 1.6   1.4 1.7   1.5 1.9   1.9 1.6   1.5 2.7   1.3 1.2   1.6

4PM Forecasts
Updated: September 19, 2018 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 19, 2018 88   85 71   71 86   81 68   74 85   86 67   75 86   87 69   76
September 13, 2018 85 85.4 °F 71 77 74.7°F 78 83   73 76   80 80   72 75   84 84   72 74   85
September 12, 2018 89 75.9°F 73 75 91.1 °F 81 84 85.4 °F 70 74 74.7°F 77 85   73 74   79 86   73 73   79
September 11, 2018 88 73.8°F 71 73 92.3 °F 91 89 75.9°F 74 74 91.1 °F 80 85 85.4 °F 72 74 74.7°F 79 87   71 73   82
September 10, 2018 87 72.0°F 74 75 91.0 °F 89 87 73.8°F 74 73 92.3 °F 90 90 75.9°F 73 74 91.1 °F 85 88 85.4 °F 74 74 74.7°F 88
September 09, 2018 88 72.3°F 75 74 90.1 °F 92 90 72.0°F 74 74 91.0 °F 92 88 73.8°F 74 74 92.3 °F 92 89 75.9°F 73 75 91.1 °F 87
September 08, 2018 89 71.4°F 73 73 91.5 °F 92 87 72.3°F 73 74 90.1 °F 92 89 72.0°F 74 74 91.0 °F 93 89 73.8°F 75 75 92.3 °F 92
September 07, 2018 89 70.0°F 72 72 86.9 °F 93 89 71.4°F 73 73 91.5 °F 91 88 72.3°F 73 74 90.1 °F 89 90 72.0°F 75 73 91.0 °F 87
September 06, 2018 90 70.3°F 75 73 92.7 °F 89 88 70.0°F 73 72 86.9 °F 90 88 71.4°F 73 72 91.5 °F 90 87 72.3°F 74 72 90.1 °F 89
September 05, 2018 90 70.3°F 74 74 92.5 °F 93 88 70.3°F 73 73 92.7 °F 91 88 70.0°F 73 73 86.9 °F 92 88 71.4°F 73 72 91.5 °F 90
September 04, 2018 89 72.1°F 76 72 91.8 °F 93 89 70.3°F 74 74 92.5 °F 90 88 70.3°F 74 74 92.7 °F 92 87 70.0°F 74 72 86.9 °F 92
September 03, 2018 90 71.8°F 77 73 93.1 °F 92 90 72.1°F 74 74 91.8 °F 93 88 70.3°F 75 74 92.5 °F 91 88 70.3°F 72 72 92.7 °F 92
September 02, 2018 89 72.0°F 75 74 92.3 °F 93 88 71.8°F 75 74 93.1 °F 93 89 72.1°F 74 74 91.8 °F 90 89 70.3°F 73 73 92.5 °F 92
August 31, 2018 89 72.0°F 74 74 93.1 °F 93 89 72.0°F 73 73 92.3 °F 92 87 71.8°F 73 73 93.1 °F 93 88 72.1°F 76 73 91.8 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 4 0 9 1 7 1 7 1 6 1 8 0 4 1 5
% Succ 7.7   30.8     69.2 8.3   58.3 8.3   58.3 9.1   54.5 9.1   72.7     40.0 10.0   50.0
Ave Error 15.7   3.9 16.8   2.5 15.3   3.1 16.5   2.3 14.9   3.2 16.2   2.2 15.0   3.4 16.4   3.3
Net Error 15.6   0.8 -16.5   -0.3 15.1   0.2 -16.5   -0.7 14.8   0.2 -16.2   -0.2 15.0   0.6 -16.4   0.8
Std Dev 6.5   3.3 6.5   2.7 7.7   4.0 8.3   2.8 9.0   3.7 9.8   2.1 10.3   3.5 11.5   4.0

6PM Forecasts
Updated: September 13, 2018 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 13, 2018 77   71 83   78 76   73 80   79 75   72 84   84 74   72 85   85
September 12, 2018 75 75.9°F 74 84 91.1 °F 82 74   70 85   77 74   73 86   79 73   73 86   79
September 11, 2018 73 73.8°F 72 89 92.3 °F 91 74 75.9°F 75 85 91.1 °F 80 74   72 87   79 73   71 88   82
September 09, 2018 74 72.0°F 74 90 91.0 °F 92 74 73.8°F 74 88 92.3 °F 91 74 75.9°F 73 89 91.1 °F 92 75   73 86   87
September 08, 2018 73 71.4°F 73 87 91.5 °F 92 74 72.0°F 72 89 91.0 °F 92 74 73.8°F 74 89 92.3 °F 93 75 75.9°F 75 89 91.1 °F 92
September 07, 2018 72 70.0°F 73 89 86.9 °F 93 73 71.4°F 73 88 91.5 °F 91 74 72.0°F 74 90 91.0 °F 89 73 73.8°F 75 90 92.3 °F 87
September 06, 2018 73 70.3°F 70 88 92.7 °F 88 72 70.0°F 72 88 86.9 °F 88 72 71.4°F 72 87 91.5 °F 89 72 72.0°F 74 89 91.0 °F 89
September 05, 2018 74 70.3°F 74 88 92.5 °F 93 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 91 73 70.0°F 73 88 86.9 °F 92 72 71.4°F 73 87 91.5 °F 90
September 04, 2018 72 72.1°F 75 89 91.8 °F 92 74 70.3°F 73 88 92.5 °F 90 74 70.3°F 73 87 92.7 °F 92 72 70.0°F 74 86 86.9 °F 92
September 03, 2018 73 71.8°F 76 90 93.1 °F 92 74 72.1°F 73 88 91.8 °F 92 74 70.3°F 73 88 92.5 °F 90 72 70.3°F 72 88 92.7 °F 92
September 02, 2018 73 72.0°F 74 90 92.3 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 89 93.1 °F 92 74 72.1°F 74 89 91.8 °F 90 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.5 °F 92
August 31, 2018 74 72.0°F 73 89 93.1 °F 93 73 72.0°F 73 87 92.3 °F 92 73 71.8°F 73 88 93.1 °F 93 73 72.1°F 76 88 91.8 °F 94
August 30, 2018 75 73.1°F 74 89 92.7 °F 93 74 72.0°F 75 88 93.1 °F 92 73 72.0°F 75 87 92.3 °F 93 73 71.8°F 76 87 93.1 °F 92
August 29, 2018 75 73.6°F 72 89 91.2 °F 93 74 73.1°F 74 89 92.7 °F 93 74 72.0°F 75 87 93.1 °F 92 73 72.0°F 75 88 92.3 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 9 1 10 9 8 2 10 8 5 2 8 9 5 2 7
% Succ 84.6   69.2 7.7   76.9 75.0   66.7 16.7   83.3 72.7   45.5 18.2   72.7 90.0   50.0 20.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.6   2.1 3.5   2.1 1.8   1.6 4.0   1.9 1.9   2.1 3.8   1.6 1.2   2.5 3.5   2.0
Net Error 1.4   1.2 -3.2   -0.5 1.5   1.4 -3.8   -1.4 1.6   1.6 -3.6   -0.3 0.8   2.3 -3.5   -0.2
Std Dev 1.0   1.2 1.7   2.7 1.1   1.2 2.1   2.9 1.5   1.4 2.5   1.5 0.9   1.8 2.5   2.0

8PM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 4:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 69   69 86   88 69   68 86   89 70   68 85   90 70   73 84   87
September 19, 2018 71 69.6°F 85 86 80.8 °F 71 68   81 85   74 67   86 86   75 69   87 85   76
September 13, 2018 77 85.4 °F 70 83 74.7°F 78 76 69.6°F 73 80 80.8 °F 79 75   73 84   80 74   73 85   84
September 12, 2018 75 75.9°F 75 84 91.1 °F 82 74 85.4 °F 71 85 74.7°F 77 74 69.6°F 72 86 80.8 °F 80 73   74 86   79
September 11, 2018 73 73.8°F 74 89 92.3 °F 92 74 75.9°F 74 85 91.1 °F 83 74 85.4 °F 71 87 74.7°F 77 73 69.6°F 71 88 80.8 °F 75
September 09, 2018 74 72.0°F 74 90 91.0 °F 92 74 73.8°F 74 88 92.3 °F 93 74 75.9°F 74 89 91.1 °F 92 75 85.4 °F 74 86 74.7°F 88
September 08, 2018 73 71.4°F 74 87 91.5 °F 92 74 72.0°F 73 89 91.0 °F 91 74 73.8°F 73 89 92.3 °F 92 75 75.9°F 73 89 91.1 °F 92
September 07, 2018 72 70.0°F 73 89 86.9 °F 92 73 71.4°F 72 88 91.5 °F 90 74 72.0°F 74 90 91.0 °F 88 73 73.8°F 74 90 92.3 °F 91
September 06, 2018 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 92 72 70.0°F 73 88 86.9 °F 92 72 71.4°F 72 87 91.5 °F 91 72 72.0°F 74 89 91.0 °F 90
September 05, 2018 74 70.3°F 74 88 92.5 °F 93 73 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 92 73 70.0°F 72 88 86.9 °F 93 72 71.4°F 73 87 91.5 °F 90
September 04, 2018 72 72.1°F 74 89 91.8 °F 93 74 70.3°F 73 88 92.5 °F 89 74 70.3°F 74 87 92.7 °F 91 72 70.0°F 74 86 86.9 °F 92
September 03, 2018 73 71.8°F 75 90 93.1 °F 94 74 72.1°F 73 88 91.8 °F 93 74 70.3°F 72 88 92.5 °F 91 72 70.3°F 73 88 92.7 °F 92
September 02, 2018 73 72.0°F 73 90 92.3 °F 92 74 71.8°F 74 89 93.1 °F 89 74 72.1°F 75 89 91.8 °F 88 73 70.3°F 74 88 92.5 °F 91
August 28, 2018 74 ↑ 72.0°F 73 88 93.1 °F 93 74 72.0°F 74 89 92.3 °F 92 74 71.8°F 75 89 93.1 °F 93 73 72.1°F 77 88 91.8 °F 90
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 6 1 9 7 6 3 7 5 6 2 7 7 4 2 7
% Succ 76.9   46.2 7.7   69.2 58.3   50.0 25.0   58.3 45.5   54.5 18.2   63.6 70.0   40.0 20.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.1   4.1 4.2   2.5 3.2   2.9 4.0   2.4 3.2   3.2 4.2   1.9 2.3   3.5 4.3   3.3
Net Error 0.6   1.6 -1.8   -0.6 1.0   0.2 -2.1   -0.9 0.8   0.1 -0.9   -0.2 -0.1   0.6 -0.6   0.6
Std Dev 2.1   5.0 2.3   3.3 3.1   3.8 2.9   2.4 3.3   4.0 3.7   1.8 3.2   3.6 3.8   4.1

10PM Forecasts
Updated: September 20, 2018 at 10:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
September 20, 2018 69   69 86   90 69   68 86   90 70   69 85   90 70   73 84   89
September 19, 2018 71 69.6 85 86 80.8 71 68   81 85   74 67   86 86   75 69   87 85   76
September 13, 2018 77 85.4 70 83 74.7 78 76 69.6 73 80 80.8 79 75   73 84   80 74   73 85   83
September 12, 2018 75 75.9 76 84 91.1 83 74 85.4 71 85 74.7 77 74 69.6 72 86 80.8 80 73   74 86   79
September 11, 2018 74 73.8 75 89 92.3 92 74 75.9 74 85 91.1 83 74 85.4 71 87 74.7 77 73 69.6 71 88 80.8 76
September 08, 2018 73 72.0 73 87 91.0 91 74 73.8 73 89 92.3 91 74 75.9 73 89 91.1 92 75 85.4 74 89 74.7 93
September 07, 2018 72 70.0 72 89 86.9 92 73 72.0 72 88 91.0 90 74 73.8 74 90 92.3 88 73 75.9 74 90 91.1 91
September 06, 2018 73 70.3 73 88 92.7 92 72 70.0 73 88 86.9 92 72 72.0 72 87 91.0 91 72 73.8 74 89 92.3 90
September 05, 2018 74 70.3 73 88 92.5 93 73 70.3 72 88 92.7 92 73 70.0 72 88 86.9 93 72 72.0 73 87 91.0 90
September 04, 2018 72 72.1 73 89 91.8 93 74 70.3 73 88 92.5 89 74 70.3 72 87 92.7 91 72 70.0 73 86 86.9 92
September 03, 2018 73 71.8 73 90 93.1 92 74 72.1 72 88 91.8 93 74 70.3 72 88 92.5 91 72 70.3 72 88 92.7 92
September 02, 2018 73 72.0 73 90 92.3 92 74 71.8 74 89 93.1 88 74 72.1 73 89 91.8 88 73 70.3 73 88 92.5 90
August 28, 2018 73 72.0 73 88 93.1 92 74 72.0 74 89 92.3 92 74 71.8 75 89 93.1 93 73 72.1 76 88 91.8 90
August 27, 2018 72 70.1 73 90 91.4 93 74 72.0 74 87 93.1 93 74 72.0 76 89 92.3 94 74 71.8 77 89 93.1 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 8 1 9 7 7 2 7 5 6 1 7 5 5 2 5
% Succ 76.9   61.5 7.7   69.2 58.3   58.3 16.7   58.3 45.5   54.5 9.1   63.6 50.0   50.0 20.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.0   3.7 4.1   2.5 3.1   2.9 4.3   2.5 3.1   3.0 4.3   2.1 2.8   3.2 4.8   3.7
Net Error 0.5   1.3 -1.7   -0.7 0.9   -0.0 -2.4   -1.1 0.7   -0.1 -0.9   -0.1 -0.2   0.6 -0.5   1.0
Std Dev 2.2   5.2 2.1   3.1 3.1   3.8 2.9   2.4 3.3   4.0 3.6   2.0 3.1   3.6 4.7   5.4