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Current Tropical Advisories For Atlantic Basin

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 06 Feb 2012 00:00:49 GMT

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000

ABNT20 KNHC 052346

TWOAT 



SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

645 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...



A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL

TROUGH IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...THE LOWER

FLORIDA KEYS...AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN

SEA...SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS. THE

LOW IS CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...AND A

SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING AND HAS BECOME BETTER

ORGANIZED TODAY...AND IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...THEN A

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A SUBTROPICAL STORM COULD FORM DURING THE

NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE DISTURBANCE MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT.

THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A

SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY

NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE TURNING

NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA

KEYS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...

THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG

GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA OVER

THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN

BE FOUND IN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER

SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIAOFFNT3 AND WMO HEADER FZNT24

KNHC...AND ALSO IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER

SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER

OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED.



ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

  



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FORECASTER STEWART